Bitcoin imatembenuka modabwitsa pamaso pa msonkhano wa FOMC!JPMorgan: Masheya aku US atha kukwera kwambiri ngati chiwongola dzanja chikukwera ndi 50 maziko

Madzulo a msonkhano wa FOMC,cryptocurrencymsika, womwe unali ukukwera masiku angapo apitawo, unasanduka wosakhazikika.Atakwera mpaka $21,085 pa 29,Bitcoin (BTC)adatsikira ku $ 20,237 usiku watha, ndipo adanenedwa pa $ 20,568 monga nthawi yomaliza, pafupifupi 24 Kuwonjezeka kwa ola limodzi kunali 0.52%;ether (ETH)inali pa $1,580, kukwera ndi 1.56% m'maola 24 apitawa.

A Fed alengeza za chiwongola dzanja chake nthawi ya 2:00 am Beijing pa 3rd.Malingana ndi deta yochokera ku Fed Watch Tool ya Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), msika panopa ukuyembekezera kuti Fed idzasankha kukweza chiwongoladzanja ndi mayadi a 3 mpaka 3.75% sabata ino.Pali mwayi wa 87.2% wa kukwera kwa 4.00% ndi mwayi wa 12.8% wa kukwera kwa 2-yard kupita ku 3.50% mpaka 3.75%.

srgfd (1)

Deta ina yoyenera kusamala ndi yakuti United States idzalengeza chiwerengero cha malipiro omwe si a ulimi wa October pa 20:30 nthawi ya Beijing pa 4th.Malinga ndi data ya FXStreet, msikapanopaakuyerekeza kuti chiwerengero cha malipiro omwe si a ulimi chidzawonjezeka ndi 200,000, chomwe chiri chochepa kusiyana ndi chakale Chiŵerengero cha kusowa kwa ntchito chikuyembekezeka kukwera ku 3.6% kuchokera ku 3.5%.

srgfd (2)

Masheya aku US atha kukwera kwambiri ngati chiwongola dzanja chikukwera mayadi awiri

Panthawi imodzimodziyo, malinga ndi "Bloomberg", dipatimenti yamalonda ya JPMorgan inaneneratu kuti ngati Fed iganiza zokweza chiwongoladzanja cha mayadi a 2 okha sabata ino, Pulezidenti wa Federal Reserve Jerome Powell (Jerome Powell) anasonyeza kufunitsitsa kwake kulekerera pambuyo pa msonkhano. msonkhano.Pokhala ndi kukwera kwa mitengo yamtengo wapatali komanso msika wokhazikika wantchito, S&P 500 imatha kupitilira 10% patsiku limodzi.

Gulu la JPMorgan Chase, kuphatikizapo katswiri wofufuza Andrew Tyler, adanena mosapita m'mbali m'makalata a kasitomala Lolemba kuti zochitika zoterezi zingakhale "zochepa kwambiri" koma zidzakhala "zotsatira kwambiri" kwa osunga ndalama.M'masiku asanu ndi limodzi apitawa a Fed, S&P 500 idakwera kanayi ndikugwa kawiri.

JPMorgan akuyembekeza kuti Fed idzakwezabe mitengo ndi mayadi ena a 3 sabata ino, mogwirizana ndi zolosera zapakatikati za akatswiri azachuma omwe adafunsidwa ndi Bloomberg, ndipo gulu la Andrew Tyler likuwona mwayi wochepa wa zochitika zina.

Ponena za kuneneratu kwa S & P 500, lipotilo linalemba kuti: Zotsatirazo zikugwedezeka, chifukwa tikukhulupirira kuti msika uli ndi chifukwa chabwino chobwezera kuchepa kwa sabata yatha chifukwa cha zokhumudwitsa zomwe zimapindula ndi zipangizo zamakono zamakono, koma zikupitirizabe kukwera.Mfundo ya zokambirana ndi, kuyesa kuzindikira omwe ali ogulitsa owonjezera, ndipo timakhulupirira kuti chiopsezo / mphotho imakhomeredwa pamwamba.

Nawa maulosi a gulu la JPMorgan Chase pamayendedwe omwe angachitike ndi S&P 500 patsiku la chisankho cha Fed:

● kukwera mtengo kwa 2-yard ndi msonkhano wa atolankhani pambuyo pa dovish: S&P 500 kukwera 10% -12%

● kukwera mtengo kwa 2-yard ndi msonkhano wa atolankhani pambuyo pa hawk: S&P 500 kukwera 4% mpaka 5%

● kukwera mtengo kwa 3-yard ndi msonkhano wa atolankhani pambuyo pa dovish (wachiwiri mwina): S&P 500 kukwera 2.5% -3%

● kukwera mtengo kwa 3-yard ndi msonkhano wa atolankhani pambuyo pa hawkish (mwinamwake): S&P 500 pansi 1% kuti mupeze 0.5%

● kukwera mtengo kwa 4-yard ndi msonkhano wa atolankhani pambuyo pa dovish: S&P 500 pansi 4% mpaka 5%

● kukwera mtengo kwa 4-yard ndi msonkhano wa atolankhani pambuyo pa hawk: S&P 500 pansi 6% mpaka 8%


Nthawi yotumiza: Nov-11-2022