"Mgwirizano" pakati pa masheya aku US ndi bitcoin ukukwera

Pa February 24 nthawi ya Beijing, Purezidenti wa Russia Vladimir Putin adalengeza kuti adzachita "zochitika zankhondo" ku Donbas, Ukraine.Pambuyo pake, Purezidenti wa Ukraine Vladimir Zelensky adalengeza kuti dzikolo lalowa munkhondo.

Monga nthawi yosindikizira, mtengo wamtengo wapatali wa golidi udayima pa $ 1940, koma bitcoin inagwa pafupifupi 9% mu maola 24, yomwe tsopano inanenedwa pa $ 34891, tsogolo la Nasdaq 100 linagwa pafupifupi 3%, ndi S & P 500 index index ndi Dow Jones index. idatsika kuposa 2%.

Ndi kukwera kwakukulu kwa mikangano ya geopolitical, misika yazachuma padziko lonse lapansi idayamba kuyankha.Mitengo ya golidi idakwera, masheya aku US adatsika, ndipo bitcoin, yomwe imawonedwa ngati "golide wa digito", idalephera kuchoka panjira yodziyimira payokha.

Malingana ndi deta ya mphepo, kuyambira pachiyambi cha 2022, bitcoin yakhala yomaliza pakuchita zinthu zazikulu zapadziko lonse ndi 21,98%.Mu 2021, yomwe yangotha ​​kumene, bitcoin adakhala woyamba m'magulu akuluakulu a katundu ndikukwera kwakukulu kwa 57,8%.

Kusiyanitsa kwakukulu koteroko kumakhala kochititsa chidwi, ndipo pepala ili lidzafufuza nkhani yaikulu kuchokera kuzinthu zitatu za zochitika, mapeto ndi chifukwa: kodi bitcoin yomwe ili ndi mtengo wamtengo wapatali wamtengo wapatali pafupifupi $ 700 biliyoni ingawonekere ngati "katundu wotetezeka"?

Kuyambira theka lachiwiri la 2021, chidwi cha msika wapadziko lonse lapansi chayang'ana kwambiri pakukweza kwa chiwongola dzanja cha Fed.Tsopano kuwonjezereka kwa mkangano pakati pa Russia ndi Ukraine kwakhala chinsalu china chakuda, chomwe chikukhudza machitidwe a mitundu yonse ya chuma cha padziko lonse.

Choyamba ndi golide.Chiyambireni mkangano wapakati pa Russia ndi Ukraine pa February 11, golide wakhala gulu la zinthu zochititsa chidwi kwambiri posachedwapa.Pakutsegulidwa kwa msika waku Asia pa February 21, golide wowona adalumpha kwakanthawi kochepa ndikudumpha $1900 patatha miyezi isanu ndi itatu.Chaka mpaka pano, zokolola za golide za Comex zafika pa 4.39%.

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Mpaka pano, mawu a golide a COMEX akhala abwino kwa masabata atatu otsatizana.Mabungwe ambiri ofufuza zandalama amakhulupirira kuti chifukwa cha izi makamaka chifukwa cha kuyembekezera kuwonjezeka kwa chiwongola dzanja ndi zotsatira za kusintha kwazinthu zachuma.Panthawi imodzimodziyo, ndi kuwonjezeka kwakukulu kwaposachedwa kwa ziwopsezo zamayiko, "ngozi yodana ndi ngozi" ya golide ndiyotchuka.Pachiyembekezo ichi, Goldman Sachs akuyembekeza kuti kumapeto kwa 2022, golide wa ETF adzakwera mpaka matani 300 pachaka.Pakadali pano, Goldman Sachs amakhulupirira kuti mtengo wa golide udzakhala $2150 / ounce m'miyezi 12.

Tiyeni tiwone NASDAQ.Monga imodzi mwazinthu zazikulu zitatu zama stock aku US, imaphatikizaponso masheya ambiri otsogola aukadaulo.Kuchita kwake mu 2022 ndi koyipa.

Pa Novembara 22, 2021, index ya NASDAQ idatseka pamwamba pa 16000 kwa nthawi yoyamba m'mbiri yake, ndikuyika mbiri.Kuyambira pamenepo, index ya NASDAQ idayamba kubwereranso kwambiri.Pofika kumapeto kwa February 23, chiwerengero cha NASDAQ chinatsika 2.57% mpaka 13037.49 mfundo, kutsika kwatsopano kuyambira May chaka chatha.Poyerekeza ndi mbiri yakale yomwe idakhazikitsidwa mu Novembala, idatsika pafupifupi 18.75%.

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Pomaliza, tiyeni tiwone bitcoin.Mpaka pano, mawu aposachedwa kwambiri a bitcoin ali pafupi nafe $37000.Popeza mbiri yokwera ya US $ 69000 idakhazikitsidwa pa Novembara 10, 2021, bitcoin yatsika ndi 45%.Pakutsika kwakukulu pa Januware 24, 2022, bitcoin idatsika kwambiri $32914, kenako idatsegula malonda am'mbali.

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Kuyambira chaka chatsopano, bitcoin adapezanso mwachidule $ 40000 pa February 16, koma ndi kuwonjezereka kwa mkangano pakati pa Russia ndi Ukraine, bitcoin yatsekedwa kwa masabata atatu otsatizana.Chaka mpaka pano, mitengo ya bitcoin yatsika ndi 21.98%.

Kuyambira kubadwa kwake mu 2008 muvuto lachuma, bitcoin pang'onopang'ono imatchedwa "golide wa digito" chifukwa imakhalanso ndi makhalidwe ena.Choyamba, ndalama zonse ndizokhazikika.Bitcoin imagwiritsa ntchito ukadaulo wa blockchain ndi encryption aligorivimu kuti ipangitse kuchuluka kwake kosasintha kufika 21 miliyoni.Ngati kusowa kwa golide kumachokera ku fizikisi, kuchepa kwa bitcoin kumachokera ku masamu.

Panthawi imodzimodziyo, poyerekeza ndi golidi wakuthupi, bitcoin ndi yosavuta kusunga ndi kunyamula (makamaka mndandanda wa manambala), ndipo imatengedwa kuti ndi yopambana kuposa golide pazinthu zina.Monga momwe golidi wakhala pang'onopang'ono kukhala chizindikiro cha chuma kuchokera ku zitsulo zamtengo wapatali kuyambira pamene adalowa m'magulu a anthu, kukwera mtengo kwa bitcoin kumagwirizana ndi kufunafuna chuma kwa anthu, kotero anthu ambiri amachitcha "golide wa digito".

"Zakale zotukuka, nthawi zovuta golide."Uku ndikumvetsetsa kwa anthu aku China pazizindikiro zachuma pamagawo osiyanasiyana.Mu theka loyamba la 2019, zidagwirizana ndi kuyamba kwa nkhondo yamalonda ya Sino US.Bitcoin idatuluka pamsika wa zimbalangondo ndikunyamuka kuchoka pa $3000 kufika pafupifupi $10000.Msika wamsika womwe ukukumana nawo ukufalikiranso kufalitsa dzina la bitcoin "golide wa digito".

Komabe, m'zaka zaposachedwapa, ngakhale mtengo wa bitcoin wakhala kukwera mu kusinthasintha lakuthwa, ndipo mtengo wake msika mwalamulo kuposa US $ 1 thililiyoni mu 2021, kufika gawo limodzi mwa magawo khumi a mtengo msika wa golide (ziwerengero zikusonyeza kuti okwana msika mtengo wa golide migodi. pofika chaka cha 2021 ndi pafupifupi US $ 10 thililiyoni), mgwirizano pakati pa mtengo wake ndi ntchito ya golide wakhala ukuchepa, ndipo pali zizindikiro zoonekeratu za kukokera mbedza.

Malinga ndi tchati cha coinmetrics, zomwe zimachitika pa bitcoin ndi golide zinali ndi kulumikizana kwina mu theka loyamba la 2020, ndipo kulumikizana kudafika 0,56, koma pofika 2022, mgwirizano pakati pa bitcoin ndi golide wasintha.

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M'malo mwake, mgwirizano pakati pa bitcoin ndi US stock index ukukulirakulira.

Malinga ndi tchati cha coinmetrics, coefficient coefficient pakati pa bitcoin ndi S & P 500, imodzi mwazinthu zazikulu zitatu za masheya aku US, yafika pa 0,49, pafupi ndi mtengo wam'mbuyo wa 0,54.Kukwera kwamtengo wapatali, kumagwirizana kwambiri pakati pa bitcoin ndi S & P 500. Izi zikugwirizana ndi deta ya Bloomberg.Kumayambiriro kwa February 2022, deta ya Bloomberg inasonyeza kuti mgwirizano pakati pa cryptocurrency ndi Nasdaq unafika pa 0,73.

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Malinga ndi momwe msika ukuyendera, mgwirizano pakati pa bitcoin ndi US stock ukukulanso.Kukwera ndi kugwa kwa bitcoin ndi matekinoloje m'matangadza kangapo m'miyezi itatu yaposachedwa, ndipo ngakhale kugwa kwa m'matangadza US mu March 2020 ndi kuchepa kwa m'matangadza US mu January 2022, cryptocurrency msika sanatuluke msika palokha, koma ikuwonetsa momwe kukwera ndi kutsika ndi masheya ena aukadaulo.

Pakadali pano mu 2022, ndiye gulu lotsogola lamatekinoloje "faamng" lomwe likuyandikira kutsika kwa bitcoin.Kutoleredwa kwa zimphona zisanu ndi chimodzi zaukadaulo zaku America zatsika ndi 15.63% chaka mpaka pano, ndikuyika pachiwonetsero chachikulu pakuchita kwazinthu zazikulu zapadziko lonse lapansi.

Kuphatikizidwa ndi utsi wa nkhondo, pambuyo pa chiyambi cha nkhondo Russian Chiyukireniya madzulo a 24, chuma chiwopsezo padziko lonse anagwa pamodzi, m'matangadza US ndi cryptocurrency sanasiyidwe, pamene mtengo wa golidi ndi mafuta anayamba kukwera, ndi msika wachuma wapadziko lonse lapansi udalamulidwa ndi "utsi wankhondo".

Chifukwa chake, kuchokera pamsika wapano, bitcoin imakhala ngati chuma chowopsa kuposa "katundu wotetezedwa".

Bitcoin yophatikizidwa mu dongosolo lazachuma lalikulu

Pamene bitcoin idapangidwa ndi Nakamoto, malo ake adasintha kangapo.Mu 2008, munthu wodabwitsayo dzina lake "Nakamoto cong" adasindikiza pepala m'dzina la bitcoin, ndikuyambitsa ndondomeko yolipira pakompyuta.Kuchokera pamatchulidwe, zitha kuwoneka kuti malo ake oyamba anali ndalama yadijito yokhala ndi ntchito yolipira.Komabe, pofika chaka cha 2022, El Salvador yokha, dziko laling'ono la Central America, ndilomwe lidachita kuyesa ntchito yake yolipira.

Kuphatikiza pa ntchito yolipira, chimodzi mwa zifukwa zazikulu zomwe Nakamoto adalenga bitcoin ndikuyesa kukonza momwe zinthu ziliri pano za kusindikiza kopanda malire kwa ndalama zamakono, kotero adalenga bitcoin ndi ndalama zonse zokhazikika, zomwe zimatsogolera ku wina. Kuyika kwa bitcoin ngati "anti inflation asset".

Pansi pa mliri wapadziko lonse lapansi mu 2020, Federal Reserve idasankha kupulumutsa msika mwadzidzidzi, kuyambitsa "QE yopanda malire" ndikupereka $ 4 thililiyoni zina pachaka.Ndalama zazikulu zaku America zokhala ndi ndalama zambiri zomwe zimayikidwa m'masheya ndi bitcoin.Ndalama zonse zazikulu, kuphatikiza makampani aukadaulo, mabungwe azachuma, ma hedge funds, mabanki apadera komanso maofesi a mabanja, adasankha "kuvota ndi mapazi awo", Kulowa msika wachinsinsi.

Zotsatira za izi ndikukwera kopenga kwa mtengo wa bitcoin.Mu February 2021, Tesla adagula bitcoin kwa $ 1.5 biliyoni.Mtengo wa bitcoin unakwera kuposa $ 10000 patsiku ndipo udafika pamtengo wapamwamba wa $ 65000 mu 2021. Mpaka pano, wechat, kampani yotchulidwa ku US, yasonkhanitsa ma bitcoins oposa 100000 ndi maudindo a imvi kuposa ma bitcoins a 640000.

Mwa kuyankhula kwina, chinsomba cha bitcoin, chotsogozedwa ndi likulu lalikulu la Wall Street ku United States, chakhala chitsogozo chachikulu pamsika, kotero mayendedwe a likulu lalikulu lakhala mphepo yamkuntho ya msika wachinsinsi.

Mu Epulo 2021, coinbase, msika waukulu kwambiri wa encryption ku United States, idalembedwa, ndipo ndalama zambiri zimatha kutsatiridwa.Pa Okutobala 18, SEC idzavomereza ProShares kukhazikitsa bitcoin tsogolo ETF.Kuwonetsedwa kwa osunga ndalama aku US ku bitcoin kudzakulitsidwanso ndipo zida zidzakhala zangwiro.

Panthawi imodzimodziyo, Congress ya US inayambanso kumvetsera milandu ya cryptocurrency, ndipo kafukufuku pa makhalidwe ake ndi njira zoyendetsera ntchito zinakhala zozama kwambiri, ndipo bitcoin inataya chinsinsi chake choyambirira.

Bitcoin pang'onopang'ono idapangidwa kukhala chinthu china chowopsa m'malo molowa m'malo mwa golide m'njira yokhudzidwa ndi ndalama zambiri ndikuvomerezedwa ndi msika wamba.

Chifukwa chake, kuyambira kumapeto kwa 2021, Federal Reserve yakweza liwiro lakukweza chiwongola dzanja ndipo idafuna kuyimitsa njira ya "kutulutsa madzi kwakukulu kuchokera ku dollar yaku US".Zokolola za ma bond aku US zakula mwachangu, koma masheya aku US ndi bitcoin alowa mumsika waukadaulo wa zimbalangondo.

Pomaliza, zomwe zidachitika pankhondo yaku Russia yaku Ukraine zikuwonetsa zomwe zili zowopsa za bitcoin.Kuchokera pakusintha kwa bitcoin m'zaka zaposachedwa, bitcoin sichidziwikanso ngati "katundu wotetezedwa" kapena "golide wa digito".


Nthawi yotumiza: Mar-14-2022